Results simulated using expected goals (xG) — each match winner determined by who generated more xG. xPTS = points that would have been earned. ▲/▼ shows position vs actual table. Data: Understat

#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
#	△	Club	P	xPts	xGF	xGA	xGD	Act
1	Arsenal	30	20	7	3	59	22	+37	67	WWWDD
2	Manchester City	29	18	6	5	59	27	+32	60	DWWWW
3	Manchester United	29	14	9	6	51	40	+11	51	LWWDW
4	Aston Villa	29	15	6	8	39	34	+5	51	LLDWD
5	Chelsea	29	13	9	7	53	34	+19	48	WLDDW
6	Liverpool	29	14	6	9	48	39	+9	48	LWWWL
7	Brentford	29	13	5	11	44	40	+4	44	DWLDW
8	Everton	29	12	7	10	34	33	+1	43	WWLLW
9	Bournemouth	29	9	13	7	44	46	-2	40	DDDWD
10	Fulham	29	12	4	13	40	43	-3	40	LWWLL
11	Sunderland	29	10	10	9	30	34	-4	40	WDLLL
12	Newcastle	29	11	6	12	42	43	-1	39	WLLWL
13	Crystal Palace	29	10	8	11	33	35	-2	38	WLWLW
14	Brighton	29	9	10	10	38	36	+2	37	LWWLL
15	Leeds	29	7	10	12	37	48	-11	31	LLDDW
16	Tottenham	29	7	8	14	39	46	-7	29	LLLLL
17	Nottingham Forest	29	7	7	15	28	43	-15	28	DLLDL
18	West Ham	29	7	7	15	35	54	-19	28	WLDDW
19	Burnley	29	4	7	18	32	58	-26	19	LLDWL
20	Wolves	30	3	7	20	22	52	-30	16	WWLDD
1	—	Arsenal	30	61.4	50.0	21.1	+28.9	1
2	—	Manchester City	29	54.7	53.2	32.6	+20.7	2
3	▲2	Chelsea	29	50.1	57.0	39.2	+17.7	5
4	▲2	Liverpool	29	49.6	48.3	33.7	+14.6	6
5	▼2	Manchester United	29	48.9	50.4	35.6	+14.7	3
6	▲6	Newcastle	29	45.1	44.0	36.1	+8.0	12
7	▲6	Crystal Palace	29	44.5	45.1	38.3	+6.8	13
8	▼1	Brentford	29	43.5	46.0	40.2	+5.8	7
9	—	Bournemouth	29	42.7	45.6	43.5	+2.2	9
10	▲4	Brighton	29	41.8	42.1	39.1	+3.0	14
11	▲4	Leeds	29	40.5	41.4	43.5	-2.1	15
12	▼2	Fulham	29	35.8	36.1	41.2	-5.2	10
13	▼5	Everton	29	35.4	34.9	41.4	-6.5	8
14	▼10	Aston Villa	29	35.4	35.3	42.2	-7.0	4
15	▲3	West Ham	29	33.0	35.0	46.4	-11.4	18
16	▲1	Nottingham Forest	29	32.8	33.5	43.8	-10.3	17
17	▼1	Tottenham	29	31.8	30.1	43.7	-13.6	16
18	▲2	Wolves	30	29.9	26.7	45.8	-19.1	20
19	▼8	Sunderland	29	29.3	27.0	42.2	-15.3	11
20	▼1	Burnley	29	19.9	24.5	56.4	-31.9	19